Springing into a mood swing
continued from page 8
said to me, ‘It is kind of like a basketball team
Those off-farm factors are creat-
living and dying by the three-pointer.’ ”
ing frustration. Producers feel power-
Closer to home, it’s federal dairy policy
less as environmental regulations encroach
reform and the 2012 Farm Bill. There’s
on their businesses. Will the Food & Drug
little confi dence in
Administration show
Congress. Producers
up for a drug residue
“Our future could easily are split over the Dairy
violation due to an
include one or two sons
Security Act – it either
employee’s mistake?
coming back to the farm, goes too far or doesn’t
Lack of immigration
go far enough. Supply
reform and proposed
and that will almost cer-
management is an
rules restricting young
tainly include some type
emotional hot button.
workers add labor con-
of expansion. The spec-
“We do have a lot
cerns. of concerns about dairy
ter of 2009 still gives us
policy,” Troxel said.
Adding anger
fear. We’ll watch, read
“We have little confi -
is the social impact of
and listen – and we’ll
dence our legislators
getting slapped in the
still get up and milk cows will improve the situ-
face by animal right-
ation.” every morning.”
sists and retail outlets
producers’ moods is related to forage sup-
plies – both quantity and quality – impacted
by last year’s hurricanes. Many producers face
the prospects of running out of corn silage by
May 1. That may mean buying high-priced
feed, something they haven’t had to do before.
Credit access is a question.
And, while the growth of the yogurt indus-
try adds hope, it seems to have actually result-
ed in a drop in the mailbox price relative to the
national average, she said.
“The mood is tenuous,” said Wisconsin
dairy producer Bill Averbeck “Even though
the economy is slowly improving, and 14% of
the U.S. milk production is currently exported,
the potential for a negative impact could be
devastating to the markets. Volatility and the
(the Chipotle ad), who
duration of any low milk prices have to be on
want a bigger say in
the minds of many producers. Risk manage-
how animals are managed and food is pro-
ment is going to be essential.”
duced. There’s a growing impression “the pub-
“There is fear and uncertainty looming in
the industry,” said Liz Doornink, responsible lic” believes we can feed and save the world
with backyard gardens
for business devel-
and small organic pro-
opment at Stewart-
“While the overall
ducers. Peterson, Inc., based in
mood of dairymen has
Wisconsin. “The more
been upbeat for the
Creating uncer-
established produc-
tainty is whether the
ers see this as another
past 18 months, (the
challenge to face, and
recent) decrease in milk export market will hold.
“Producers are con-
although they are con-
prices has created a
cerned that while strong
cerned, they still feel
great deal of concern.” exports have kept prices
positive.” In addition to milk
-- John Ellsworth strong, it could cost us if
exports begin to dwindle
prices and input costs,
or trade agreements are not set in place,” said
Dorrnink said, “there are issues of permitting,
Matthew Lange, who owns Lange Dairy
activists, governmental regulations and con-
Development, LLC, Albany, Wis. “A farmer
sumer perception.”
-- LuAnn Troxel
There is hope-
fulness. New dairy
product innovation is adding excitement.
Planting season is always a period of renewal.
Many are eager to learn about risk manage-
ment tools, and looking for empathetic suppli-
ers who will stand with them as partners.
Producers are watching all signals coming
into their management GPS units, recalculat-
ing for the short-term, but also looking further
down the road.
“Our future could easily include one or two
sons coming back to the farm, and that will
almost certainly include some type of expan-
sion,” Troxel said. “The specter of 2009 still
gives us fear. We’ll watch, read and listen
– and we’ll still get up and milk cows every
morning.” Ë
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