Understanding Exports – New Zealand

Jacoby

Today’s dairy market operates on a global scale, making it essential to examine international trends to understand the U.S. market. In this episode of The Milk Check, we focus on New Zealand and Oceania to explore their impact on the U.S. dairy industry. Join Ted Jacoby and special guests Jo Bills and Steve Spencer of Ever.Ag as we work to untangle the global dairy market and understand how what’s happening in New Zealand impacts the U.S. dairy market. 

  • Tight global supplies of skim milk powder and robust demand are expected to sustain high prices through 2025
  • New U.S. cheese plants may drive increased milk production but could reduce powder output, affecting the overall market balance
  • Dairy demand is recovering in Southeast Asia, fueled by economic growth and restocking efforts.
  • Lower Chinese demand has prompted New Zealand to shift its focus to skim milk powder, butterfat, and cheese exports
  • New Zealand’s tariff-free trade benefits are challenged by China’s economic slowdown, reducing dairy imports

While global demand trends provide a generally positive outlook for the dairy industry, potential oversupply makes Class III our wild card for 2025.

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